Wednesday, March 21, 2012

Home buying much cheaper than renting

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- It's the eternal question in real estate: Should I buy or rent?
The answer has never been clearer: Buy.
In 98 of the top 100 housing markets, buying a home is more affordable than renting, according to the online real estate company Trulia. Only Honolulu and San Francisco buck the trend.
There are several reasons. Home prices are falling. Mortgage interest rates are at historically low levels. And rents are on the rise.
Of course, many renters are not in a position to buy. For one, it's hard to get a mortgage these days, despite low rates. And paying rent can push them further away from being able to afford to buy.
"Rising rents make it harder for people to save for a down payment, which is the biggest barrier to buying a home that aspiring homeowners face," Jed Kolko, Trulia's chief economist.

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The nation's cheapest buyer's market is Detroit, where purchasing is only 3.7 times more expensive than renting.
Other top five metro areas where buying is much better than renting areOklahoma CityDayton, Ohio,Warren, Mich. and Toledo, Ohio.
Rankings like these, however, can obscure the factors that go into each decision.
Housing markets, even within a single metro area, typically have local submarkets. Take New York City, for example. Renting in Manhattan is more affordable than buying. But in suburban Westchester County just miles to the north, buying is the more affordable option.
The size of the home can also make a difference. In some markets, renting can be a better deal on larger homes, according to Trulia.
In San Francisco, for example, studio and one-bedroom apartments sell for 13.1 times rent, while three bedrooms or larger sell for more than 18 times rent.

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The Trulia survey does not take into account home price trends, which are another factor for individuals choosing whether to buy or rent.
"People will pay more for a home if they expect prices to rise and give them a better return on their investment," said Kolko.
Those calculations are about to change, according to Ken H. Johnson, a professor of real estate at Florida International who has studied the buy-vs-rent question extensively. He believes home prices nationally have bottomed.
"The ship has turned," he said. "Markets should slowly start to recover. Housing will return to its traditional role of a safety investment."

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If so, that adds an incentive to buy. And investing in many of the most expensive markets may be even safer.
Kolko pointed out that places like Honolulu, San Francisco and Bostonhave strong long-term growth prospects. They also have little physical space to grow, a factor that tends to keep prices strong.
On the other hand, old areas that aren't growing much -- while cheap -- may not return much in the long run.
"Buying is much cheaper than renting in slow-growing places with high vacancy rates and land to spare, like Detroit and Cleveland, where prices are unlikely to improve much in the future," he said. To top of page

Tuesday, March 20, 2012

Builders ready for home construction rebound

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- Home builders are getting ready for a stronger construction season, filing for the most building permits in more than three years, in another sign of recovery in the long-battered housing market.
The government reported builders filed for permits at an seasonally adjusted annual rate of 717,000 in February, the strongest reading since October 2008, which was the month after the meltdown in financial markets. It marked a 5.1% rise from January and a 34.3% increase from year-earlier levels.
Actual starts of new homes slipped slightly from a very strong start to the building season in January, down 1.1% to 698,000. Still, that was 35% ahead of starts in February 2011.
The starts are more affected by weather factors. But the permits are generally seen as an indication of builders' confidence in the market and the demand they are seeing.Mortgage rates near record lows and an improving jobs market both are feeding stronger demand.
The construction and permitting of apartments and condos continue to be particularly strong. Permits for buildings with more than one housing unit rose 61% from prior-year levels, and starts of buildings with five or more units jumped 29% from January and were more than double year-earlier levels.

Watch for a housing recovery

New home construction is still only a fraction of levels during the building boom in the middle of the last decade. But years of low building since the housing bubble burst have left inventories of new homes for sales at a record low, helping to spur more activity by builders.
Stocks of major home builders such as PulteGroup (PHMFortune 500), D.R. Horton (DHIFortune 500) and Toll Brothers (TOL) have all posted double-digit gains in the last three months. Home supply retailers such as Home Depot (HDFortune 500) and Lowe's (LOW,Fortune 500) have also reported strong sales and profits, and their stocks have rallied as a result.

Boost your odds of landing a mortgage

The home construction industry is an important driver of the overall economy, creating demand not only for construction workers but also manufacturers of various goods used in new homes, from major appliances to furniture to general housewares.
That's one of the reasons that housing and home construction have historically helped to lead the U.S. economy out of downturns. So the strong hopes for the building season ahead are seen as good news for the broader economy as well. To top of page